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Decide with Data: Probability & Statistics: Uncharted

Courses Probability & StatisticsDecide with Data

Decide with Data

Replay the statistical toolkit through risk, communication, integrity, and consequential real-world decisions.

Probability & Statistics
Unit 12 of 12
20 lessons
160 min
480 XP

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Lessons

20 total

1The Toolkit You CarryMatch common decisions with the statistical tool that clarifies each one.InteractiveConcept7 min20 XPOpen
2Micromorts and MicrolivesUse small common units to compare risks without losing their scale.InteractiveConcept7 min20 XPOpen
3Absolute vs Relative RiskCompute a relative risk change while preserving the baseline rate.InteractiveConcept8 min20 XPOpen
4The Screening DecisionCombine prevalence, sensitivity, and false positives in a screening decision.InteractiveConcept8 min20 XPOpen
5The Insurance PortfolioChoose coverage using expected cost and ruin risk together.InteractiveConcept7 min20 XPOpen
6The Diversification EchoCompare the spread of one holding with a diversified basket.InteractiveConcept7 min20 XPOpen
7Charts That Lie: AxesRecognize how a truncated axis can exaggerate a small difference.InteractiveConcept7 min20 XPOpen
8Charts That Lie: Cherry-Picked WindowsDetect when a chosen time window hides the longer trend.InteractiveConcept7 min20 XPOpen
9Lie Detection WorkoutAudit statistical claims for missing denominators, scales, windows, and designs.InteractivePractice10 min20 XPOpen
10The A/B Test You RunOrder an A/B test from question to an honest shipping decision.InteractiveConcept7 min20 XPOpen
11The Poll You PublishAssemble a poll report that communicates estimate, uncertainty, and scope.InteractiveConcept7 min20 XPOpen
12Explain It to the MayorTranslate a technical finding into a plain-language recommendation.InteractiveConcept8 min20 XPOpen
13The Waiting RoomCompute an expected wait while noticing the long tail.InteractiveConcept8 min20 XPOpen
14The Forecast Says 70Interpret a probabilistic forecast through long-run calibration.InteractiveConcept7 min20 XPOpen
15Bet or PassCombine expected value, Bayes updates, and uncertainty in fresh decisions.InteractivePractice10 min20 XPOpen
16The Jury RoomUse match probabilities and base rates without the prosecutor’s fallacy.InteractiveConcept7 min20 XPOpen
17Your Data DietChoose daily habits that improve statistical judgment.InteractiveConcept7 min20 XPOpen
18The Final CaseCarry one public decision from sample through estimate, test, and action.InteractiveCapstone12 min80 XPOpen
19What Statistics Cannot DoSeparate statistical evidence from values and unknowable certainty.InteractiveConcept7 min20 XPOpen
20Probability & Statistics Mastery CheckSynthesize probability, estimation, testing, and communication in one final call.InteractiveMastery check12 min40 XPOpen